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Planned PapersTitle: The Contribution of Cohort Effects, Sanitary Intervention and Nutritional Improvement to the Decline of Mortality since 1700Author: Prof. Dr. Bernard Harris (Position: Professor of the History of Social Policy)School
of Social Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ,
UK; Tel.: (023) 8059 2567; Email: B.J.Harris@soton.ac.uk
Abstract:Table
of Contents: 1. Introduction - the historical debate over the causes of
mortality decline (focusing on the 'diet versus sanitary intervention'
debate. 2. The problem of timescales (should we focus on the period
since circa 1850, or take a more long-term perspective?). 3. The
problem of finding direct evidence of dietary change (this section
would draw on some current work on estimates of food availability in
the UK at different periods). 4. The role of cohort effects (revisiting
older debates about the relationship between period and cohort effects
in mortality change). 5. Conclusions and implications (how we should
see the relationship between different factors in mortality change, and
the implications of earlier declines in mortality for future health
trends).
Title: Effects of Psychoactive Medication on Driving Ability and
Traffic Safety
Author: Joris Verster
E-mail: J.C.Verster@uu.nl
Abstract: (To be added soon)
Submitted Papers
Title: The Relationship Between General Population Suicide Rates and the Human Development Index: a Cross-national Study
Authors: Ajit Shah * and Ritesh BhandarkarUniversity
of Central Lancashire, Preston, United Kingdom and Consultant
Psychiatrist, West London Mental Health NHS Trust, London, United
Kingdom; E-mail: ajit.shah@wlmht.nhs.uk
* Author to whom
correspondence should be addressed; Address: John Connolly Unit, West
London Mental Health NHS Trust, Uxbridge Road, Southall, Middlesex UB1
3EU, United Kingdom; Tel.:
0208 354 8191; Fax:
0208 354 8898
Abstract: Background:
A curvilinear (inverted U-shaped curve) relationship between elderly
suicide rates and the Human Development Index has been observed. This
relationship between general population suicide rates and the HDI was
examined.
Methods: The relationship between Human Development
Index (HDI), a composite index measuring average achievements on
three basic dimensions of human development (life expectancy,
educational attainment and socio-economic status) and general
population suicide rates in both sexes was examined in a cross-national
study utilising secondary data from the World Health Organization and
the United Nations.
Results: There was a significant curvilinear
(inverted U-shaped curve) relationship between general population
suicide rates in females and the HDI fitting the quadratic equation Y =
A + BX - CX2 (where Y = suicide rates, X = HDI, and A, B and C are
constants. A similar curvilinear relationship was observed in males,
but did not reach statistical significance.
Conclusions: The
findings were consitent with a previously proposed four sequential
stages model in the elderly: (i) low suicide rate-low human development
society; (ii) high suicide rate-low human development society; (iii)
high suicide rate-high human development society; and (iv) low suicide
rate-high human development society. Caution should be exercised in the
application of this model because of the cross-sectional and ecological
study design whereby the findings are subject to ecological fallacy and
require rigourous testing in within-country longitudinal studies over
time.
Keywords: Elderly suicides, life expectancy, socio-economic status, educational status.
MDPI - 24 September 2008